A natural question to ask

A more recent paper by Ref. [23] showed that the southern Midwestern (roughly the region between 30 and 40° North and 90–100° West, covering much of Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, and Louisiana) US had more than 90% of climate projections showing a positive increase of 5–10% in mean wind speeds, despite relying only on global climate models and not regional models. Ref. [32] investigated changes in mean wind WP1066 density over the continental United States by comparing regional climate model output for 2041–2062 to the period 1979–2000 by using four regional climate models. They found that “all four simulations indicate fairly stable or slightly increased wind resource magnitudes in the southern [Central Plains] states of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas.” However, they considered only 21 years of future climate model projections. In this paper we use output from four different regional climate models to analyze changes in wind energy density, with the specific goal of identifying locations for which wind energy density is projected to increase by more than 2%. We find strong agreement from these four models that the southern Central Plains region in the United States, which includes parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas, is projected to see increases in wind energy density. We thus extend the finding in Ref. [32] by using more years of future climate projection data, and some additional regional climate models. We also quantify the magnitudes of these projected increases in wind energy by considering the current and proposed wind industry development in the southern Central Plains region, and place the magnitude of these projected changes at the household scale.