Chelsea Vs Arsenal: Analysis Of Betting Odds
Chelsea are set to host Arsenal at Stamford Bridge next Sunday afternoon, in the seventh round of matches in the Premier League.
The results of final week's matches left a lot of punters dazed as there were a few upsets, not least the first losses suffered by Chelsea and Arsenal.
This led me to analyze why individuals prefer bookmakers' odds rather than their own instinct. So we took a look at what bookmakers predict about Sunday's Super Match in between Chelsea and Arsenal. We have classified our findings on the basis of commonly asked concerns.
Who will win the match?
You can discover out whom the bookies favour by taking a look at the odds provided for different score-lines. Our findings are as below:
The lowest odds - indicating the most probable result -- are provided on a 1-1 draw. The next lowest odds are on a 1- victory to Chelsea. Following these in order to increasing odds (decreasing probability) are a score of 2-1 in Chelsea's favour, 2- in Chelsea's favour, a goalless draw, 1- in Arsenal's favour, 3-1 in Chelsea's favour, a 2-2 draw, 2-1 in Arsenal's favour, and a 3- score in Chelsea's favour.
This is bad news if you are an Arsenal fan. According to bookies, the most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, followed by a 1- win to Chelsea. You could hope to earn more if you placed a bet on a 3- outcome for Chelsea, and this actually transpired.
I can envision Arsenal fans praying for an upset - what a contrast from a week ago when they had been most likely praying for an Arsenal win, in keeping with bookies' predictions.
Who will score the first goal?
Our study reveals that Didier Drogba is the universal favourite to score the initial goal. Again, there's not much cheer for Arsenal fans. Drogba is followed on the list of favourites by Malouda, Anelka and Lampard, all Chelsea players.
In reality, a goalless draw - in which, by implication, there are no objective scorers -- is a more favoured outcome than a first objective by Chamakh, Arsenal's most favoured striker, amongst bookmakers. What's more, if bookmakers are to believed Chelsea's David Sturridge is much more most likely to score than Chamakh.
What will the half-time score be?
It's not all poor news for Arsenal fans: the most favoured half-time score is -. The next lowest odds are on a 1- lead to Chelsea. Arsenal leading by 1- at half-time ranks next in the order of probability, ahead of a 1-1 score-line.
How ought to you bet?
So we come back to the original question: should you bet according to the bookmaker's odds, or follow your instinct?
If you relied solely on book makers' predictions, your return on investment could be so low as to barely cover the price of the beer you'd have drunk by the time you saw the cash you earned.
If you want to earn more than that, you should follow your instinct... and pray!