Chelsea Vs Arsenal: Evaluation Of Betting Odds
Chelsea are set to host Arsenal at Stamford Bridge next Sunday afternoon, in the seventh round of matches in the Premier League.
The outcomes of final week's matches left a lot of punters dazed as there were a few upsets, not least the initial losses suffered by Chelsea and Arsenal.
This led me to analyze why people favor bookmakers' odds rather than their personal instinct. So we took a look at what bookmakers predict about Sunday's Super Match between Chelsea and Arsenal. We have classified our findings on the basis of commonly asked concerns.
Who will win the match?
You can find out whom the bookies favour by taking a appear at the odds offered for various score-lines. Our findings are as under:
The lowest odds - indicating the most probable outcome -- are offered on a 1-1 draw. The subsequent lowest odds are on a 1- victory to Chelsea. Following these in order to increasing odds (decreasing probability) are a score of 2-1 in Chelsea's favour, 2- in Chelsea's favour, a goalless draw, 1- in Arsenal's favour, 3-1 in Chelsea's favour, a 2-2 draw, 2-1 in Arsenal's favour, and a 3- score in Chelsea's favour.
This is poor news if you are an Arsenal fan. According to bookies, the most probable result is a 1-1 draw, followed by a 1- win to Chelsea. You could hope to earn more if you placed a bet on a 3- result for Chelsea, and this actually transpired.
I can imagine Arsenal fans praying for an upset - what a contrast from a week ago when they had been most likely praying for an Arsenal win, in keeping with bookies' predictions.
Who will score the first goal?
Our research reveals that Didier Drogba is the universal favourite to score the initial objective. Again, there's not much cheer for Arsenal fans. Drogba is followed on the list of favourites by Malouda, Anelka and Lampard, all Chelsea players.
In fact, a goalless draw - in which, by implication, there are no goal scorers -- is a much more favoured outcome than a initial goal by Chamakh, Arsenal's most favoured striker, among bookmakers. What's more, if bookmakers are to believed Chelsea's David Sturridge is more likely to score than Chamakh.
What will the half-time score be?
It's not all poor news for Arsenal fans: the most favoured half-time score is -. The next lowest odds are on a 1- lead to Chelsea. Arsenal leading by 1- at half-time ranks subsequent in the order of probability, ahead of a 1-1 score-line.
How ought to you bet?
So we come back to the original question: should you bet according to the bookmaker's odds, or follow your instinct?
If you relied solely on book makers' predictions, your return on investment could be so low as to barely cover the price of the beer you'd have drunk by the time you saw the money you earned.
If you want to earn much more than that, you should follow your instinct... and pray!